On Friday night, Islanders fans were poised to celebrate if general manager Garth Snow used the fifth pick in the NHL draft to select Russian forward Nikita Filatov, a potential source of goal-scoring and excitement, two qualities long missing from Nassau Coliseum. But the champagne fizzled and the air went out of the balloons when he traded down twice and wound up taking Windsor center Josh Bailey, regarded by many as a reach even with the ninth pick.
Even if Snow had used the fifth pick on tough-guy defenseman Luke Schenn, the player Toronto traded up to get because he’s NHL-ready now, Islanders fans would have celebrated because Schenn was part of the group most teams identified as the elite six at the top of the draft. Still, Filatov would have been the sexy pick in a league that has thrilled to the goal-scoring exploits of MVP Alex Ovechkin and fellow Russians Evgeni Malkin and Ilya Kovalchuk.
But Snow went into the draft with a trade-down strategy designed to stockpile enough draft picks to pump life back into the farm system. Starting with the second round today, Snow made 12 more picks, including the third-round selection of Russian forward Kirill Petrov with the 73rd overall pick.
It was Petrov, not Filatov, who was named top forward at the World Under-18 championships in January, when he scored five goals and added two assists in six games. While some worried about Filatov’s slender 6-foot, 172-pound frame, the 6-3, 198-pound Petrov is built more along the power-forward lines of Ovechkin and is said to play a similar high-energy game.
Although Petrov was the second-ranked European skater behind Filatov, he fell in the draft because he’s under contract to AK Kazan in the Russian Super League for the next two seasons. If he blossoms as expected, Petrov will have the opportunity to make millions at home in a new league that is forming with the aid of money from Russian oil and gas interests. In contrast, Filatov had rejected a contract offer from his Central Red Army team and declared his intention to play in the NHL.
The talent level is similar, and with so many picks on hand, Snow could afford to risk one on Petrov. Islanders fans might have aborted their party plans Friday night, but Snow and amateur scouting director Ryan Jankowski were celebrating today at the Isles’ draft table in Scotiabank Place.
“It was funny,” Snow said. “One team called us after the pick and good naturedly gave me a couple of curse words because that was the player they were about to take. He was rated pretty high. We’re trying to get him to our mini-camp if he can get his visa in July. He’s a player.”
No one was more excited about the pick than Jankowski, who said it’s up to Petrov’s Super League team to decide whether to allow him to attend the July mini-camp or not. “Our European scout only saw him with the Super League team,” Jankowski said. “He was playing with the big boys all last year, and he’s going to play with them next year from what we’ve been told.
“We’ve seen this kid for a couple years with the Russian national team more than with the Kazan team. We’ve seen him be the top forward in the tournament of players in his own age group. That’s been consistent for the last two years.”
The good thing for the Islanders is that they always will own Petrov’s NHL rights, but the danger is that he might never leave home. “This is a roll of the dice in the third round,” Jankowski said. “That’s why we got those extra third-round picks is to do something like this.
“Yeah, it might be a stumbling block, or maybe there’s an IIHF agreement in one year and, ‘Holy cow,’ we’ve got a home run here. You never know what’s going to happen. If we don’t ever see him, it’s a third-round pick. And he’s a first-round talent. If his name isn’t Petrov, he’s a top-15 pick in this year’s draft.”
The Filatov timeline
Before the first round of the NHL draft got underway around 7:20 p.m. Friday night, rumors were circulating that the Islanders had a deal with Toronto to trade down from No. 5 to No. 7. The rumors were reported on the Internet before Tampa Bay used the No. 1 pick on Steve Stamkos, and Snow said his own staff called him even earlier in the afternoon as he was traveling from his hotel to Scotiabank Place to ask about the rumors they were hearing.
If he made the trade before waiting to see if coveted offensive defensemen Drew Doughty, Zach Bogosian and Alex Pietrangelo would be taken in the second, third and fourth spots, it would be an error of monumental proportions. Asked today if the deal with Toronto was done ahead of those picks, Snow said, “Not true.”
Not surprisingly, he admitted the framework for a deal with Toronto was in place, as many outlets were reporting, but he maintained it wasn’t executed until after Pietrangelo was taken fourth by St. Louis and the Isles were on the clock. "I would never do a deal that early because a better deal could come in at the last minute,” Snow said.
“We had talked about something of that nature a couple of days ago, and I said [to Leafs GM Cliff Fletcher], ‘I’ll see you on the floor.’ When I was in my car on the way from the hotel to here, I got about three text messages from my staff wondering if we already had done the deal. I said, ‘No, it hasn’t.’ It got done right before the pick because I wanted to see who went before us. But we were prepared to do different things depending on who got drafted before us.”
Some believe Snow thought Columbus would pass on Filatov with the sixth pick and he would be available at No. 7. But the GM indicated yesterday that Filatov wasn’t his choice and that the trade-down scenario was predicated on Bailey’s availability lower in the first round. Had the Isles been able to trade up for Doughty, Bogosian or Pietrangelo, they likely would have done it, but the cost was too high. Obviously, Bailey had to be ranked at least fifth on their board based on what happened.
Snow’s evaluation of Bailey was much higher than the rest of the league had him pegged, and he stuck by his convictions. “We have a lot of faith in our staff,” Snow said. “He’s going to be a player our fans love.”
Isles files
Snow’s selection in the second round of high school defensemen Aaron Ness probably isn’t going to go over very big in Minneapolis. Ness won Minnesota’s Mr. Hockey award and is headed to the University of Minnesota to play for Golden Gophers coach Don Lucia.
When rookie forward Kyle Okposo dropped out of Minnesota in January this year to sign with the Islanders, Lucia publicly blamed Snow for pressuring the Gophers’ star to quit school. In fact, Okposo was unhappy playing for Lucia, and Snow responded by leveling criticism at the coach’s program and said he’d do the same thing in the future if Lucia remained as coach.
Questioned by Minnesota reporters yesterday, Snow said every case is different, and he supports’ Ness’ decision to play for Lucia and the Gophers. But he added, “Anyone who takes a shot at one of my players or our organization, there’s going to be a shot going back. So, that’s what happened there. The day before there were three people that took shots in an article against our organization and took a knock against Kyle. I wasn’t going to sit idly by. I told the truth. People in glass houses shouldn’t throw stones.”
Another of the Islanders’ picks yesterday attracted some interest if only because of name recognition. In the third round, the Isles took high school center David Toews, who is the younger brother of Chicago Black Hawks star rookie forward Jonathan Toews. Asked if he believes bloodlines are important, Snow said, “I don’t read much into it. I was a professional athlete, and my brothers weren’t very good athletes.” With a laugh, he added, “No, that’s not true.”
Toews is headed to the University of North Dakota, where there’s a chance he’ll play on a line with Islanders prospect Jason Gregoire.
If there was one other aspect of the Islanders’ draft that stood out, it was their willingness to choose a small, speedy defenseman like the 5-9, 157-pound Ness to go with last year’s third-round defenseman Mark Katic, who is 5-10, 180. Questioned about a possible lack of size on the blue line, Jankowski noted that two other defensemen chosen today, 6-0, 192-pound Travis Hamonic and 6-2, 192-pound Jyri Niemi, balanced the scales.
“We thought we could get our size with Hamonic and Niemi,” Jankowski said. “But you can’t have enough skill guys, and that’s where we’re going to roll the dice. It’s been very clear that we’re going for top-level players with skill.”
From "Section 208"
I've seen a lot of insightful comments on this blog, but this one from "Section 208" bears repeating: "The system needed restocking, but they passed over several potential franchise players in favor of a fair-to-middling prospect who's supposed to be low-maintenance and easy to coach. Says a lot about the institutional desire for control."
Right on.
Blog preview
In case you haven’t had your fill of the Islanders’ draft, I will be posting another blog in a few days explaining what the club saw in top pick Josh Bailey that convinced them to abandon the No. 5 slot…In Sunday’s Newsday, you will find my analysis of Snow’s trade-down strategy along with thumbnail sketches of today’s 12 picks.