Gameday Live 5: Bengals at Jets
Hi-diddly-oh! Stephen Haynes here, bizz-ack in the hizzy off the bizz-ye wizz-eek, to provide pre-game persiflage, in-game updates and conversation with ya’ll and stizz-uff.
Disclaimer: I wrote that sentence fully aware that Snoop Dogg pig latin got old (and silly) about a month after it became popular, which was six or seven years ago.
Anywho…
Don’t get it twisted and definitely don’t get it tangled. Don’t be fooled. They’re not that good. They’re overrated. I’m typing about the Bengals.
Those 0-5 Bengals that are -44 in point differential. They’re awful, but the fact that they played close games against the Giants and Cowboys has garnered them a modicum of respect. More respect than they – as a team, I mean, not as human beings. They’ve managed to stay off the police blotter for a while, so give ‘em props – deserve.
Because on paper (and on the field, I think), the Bengals, along with Kansas City, have the weakest roster. Sure, they’ve got a good quarterback and two elite receivers, but that’s almost negated by the fact that their offensive line is dreadful and they’ve got no running game. Know how OldSchoolFootballAnalystGuy – no need to name a name, they’re pretty homogeneous – always yaps on about how teams need to run the ball and “everything starts at the line of scrimmage”? Cincinnati is a great example of that.
The Bengals have statistically the worst offensive line in the league. They’re on pace to give up 45 sacks and their backs are averaging just 2.8 yards per carry. The league average, if you’re wondering, is 4.20. Just 7% of their runs have gone for 10 or more yards while 30% have been stuffed for a loss or no gain. Another way to put it: Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick, who has played in just one game, is their second leading rusher.
That offense, even with its weapons at wideout, is weak. It’s a 60-inch HDTV with a blown picture tube. One of those, “Yeah, but if…” situations where the “if” is kind of a big deal.
Chad Ocho Cinco (that sobriquet, by the way, stopped being funny last season) has caught just 48% of the passes thrown to him. The synergy between he and Carson Palmer hasn’t been there and that probably has more to do with the offensive line than Johnson’s attitude and hurt shoulder. While T.J. Houshmandzadeh is the short man, Palmer usually looks to Johnson in the deep and intermediate ranges, but the Bengals line hasn’t provided much time to get off those longer throws.
Cinci’s defense is bad, too. But it’s always been, so that gets lost in the shuffle. They’re not awful against the pass this year (opponents are averaging a good-but-not-great 86.0 QB rating), but part of the reason is because they haven’t been tested all the much in the air. They’ve been run on more than any team (38x per game) and are giving up 171 yards.
That teams have run it on them so many times and played conservatively is part of the reason why the Bengals have played some closer games than the score than their record and numbers and talent would indicate they should. The Cowboys, coming off that loss to the Redskins in which Marion Barber had just eight carries, made it an emphasis to run on Cincinatti. That resulted in 38 rushes and Tony Romo throwing just 23 times. And two of their other close games were against teams – the Ravens and Browns – that don’t exactly light it up.
Levi Brown, their best offensive lineman, is questionable (back), as is kicker Shayne Graham (groin). Oh, and Palmer is out. Fitzpatrick will get the start. Fitzpatrick threw three picks in his first start, the Bengals’ Week 4 loss to the Browns. He’s got a career 55.3 QB rating (five touchdowns, 11 interceptions) in seven games.
As EBola wrote, there’s no excuse.
Keys to the Game
Offense
- Come out gunslingin’. If you believe in momentum and carryover, then Brett Favre, coming off his six-6’s performance, might still be blowing the smoke off his fingers. More importantly, the Bengals secondary isn’t better – if even as good – as the Cardinals’. There probably won’t be six touchdowns, but the Jets should have success throwing. Cincinnati’s pass rush is… well, they’ve got three sacks on the year. And, except for Leon Hall and Jonathan Joseph, their secondary lacks speed. And, except for Leon Hall, their secondary lacks playmakers. If the Jets are able to score early and quickly, it might demoralize the Bengals, who aren’t exactly a milk n’ cookies bunch. If the Jets get lulled into being super-conservative and wind up in a close, low-scoring game with them, that opens the door for an upset. Because having receivers like Who’sYourMama and Ocho Cinco is like a slugger with a .220 batting average. Lots of strikeouts and unproductive at-bats, but you know that at any moment, one bad pitch into his wheelhouse can change the game. One blown coverage. The Jets shouldn’t allow the Bengals to be within the equivalent of Grand-Slam range in the fourth quarter. Take chances early and let the talent disparity be the safety net. No feeling them out with jabs; come out with the uppercut.
- Take advantage of the right side of the Bengals defensive line. Teams are averaging 5.94 yards per carry going at defensive end Antwan Odom (30th in the league at the position). D’Brickashaw Ferguson should be able to win that matchup.
Defense
- Mix up coverages and confuse Fitzpatrick. The former Harvard quarterback did wonderfully on the Wonderlic (off memory, he had a 47, which tied Brian Griese for highest score, and finished the test in record time), but he’s not so good at reading defenses and making decisions in the pocket. He’ll throw some balls into areas he shouldn’t. The Jets have to take advantage.
- Focus the coverage on Houshmandzadeh. He’s been thrown to 48 times (third most in the NFL, behind Larry Fitzgerald and Brandon Marshall) and is catching 65% of those. Johnson has been thrown to 19 fewer times and has less than half as many catches. While Johnson has had difficulty getting open and/or getting passes deep, Houshmandzadeh runs a lot of underneath routes and dominates the 10- to 15-yard range. He’s often the third-down target, too. The Jets defense will have to limit him to keep the Bengals from dinking & dunking and controlling the clock.










